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Cedi Strength and Inflation Drop Signal Economic Turnaround in First Half of 2025

Prosper AGBENYEGA by Prosper AGBENYEGA
July 31, 2025
Reading Time: 2 mins read
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Ghana’s economy appears to be entering a new phase of recovery, with notable gains in currency strength, inflation control, and external sector performance signaling renewed investor and public confidence.

The Ghanaian cedi — long a source of economic anxiety — has staged a remarkable comeback, appreciating by 40.7% against the US dollar as of July 25, 2025. The currency also gained 31.2% against the British pound and 24.2% against the euro, according to the Bank of Ghana’s latest Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) report.

Experts say this cedi resurgence reflects growing macroeconomic stability, improved foreign reserve buffers, and investor optimism, all of which helped Ghana notch its strongest current account surplus on record — US$3.4 billion in the first half of 2025.

The Bank’s gross international reserves also rose to US$11.1 billion, providing nearly five months of import cover and further strengthening Ghana’s external position.

Meanwhile, inflation — a key source of concern in the past two years — dropped sharply to 13.7% in June, the lowest since December 2021. This has been credited to improved domestic supply conditions, stable exchange rates, and sustained monetary tightening.

“These positive trends are not accidental,” the Bank of Ghana noted. “They reflect the cumulative impact of effective policy coordination and gradual restoration of market confidence.”

The banking sector is also showing signs of renewed vitality. The Financial Soundness Indicators (FSIs) published by the Bank reveal improved solvency ratios, higher liquidity, better profitability, and stronger operational efficiency across financial institutions.

Against this backdrop, the central bank has opted to loosen monetary policy, reducing the Monetary Policy Rate by 300 basis points to 25%. The move is designed to support lending and stimulate private sector activity in the second half of the year.

While structural challenges remain, the MPC’s 125th meeting paints a cautiously optimistic picture of Ghana’s economic trajectory, with momentum gathering in multiple sectors.

“The stage is set for stronger growth,” the central bank stated, “but policy consistency and reform implementation will be key to sustaining this recovery.”

Tags: Cedi StrengthEconomic TurnaroundFirst Half of 2025Inflation DropSignal
Prosper AGBENYEGA

Prosper AGBENYEGA

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